干旱区农地流转影响因素的实证分析——基于新疆农户样本数据

我国干旱区的农村土地流转在全国来说相对较为缓慢。为研究其原因，本文以新疆北疆地区、东疆地区和南疆地区的389户农民的有效问卷数据为依据，通过建立Logit回归模型，对农地流转的影响因素进行了系统分析。结果表明，影响新疆农户农地转入意愿的主要因素是农业生产条件、家庭人口、农业收入、农业优惠政策等；影响转出意愿的主要因素是家庭人口、非农收入、农村劳动力转移、农村社会保障制度等。因此，要推进干旱区农地流转。必须从政策方面予以支持。

An Empirical Analysis of the Influencing Factors of Rural Land Transfer in the Arid Regions -- Based on the Sample Data of Farmers in Xinjiang

Generally speaking, the arid regions rural land transfer is relatively slow in China, in order to find out its causes, this paper, based on valid questionnaire data of 389 farmers who arc in north, east and south of Xinjiang, analyzes factors affecting rural land land by establishing logit regression model. And the results show that the factors affecting the farmers＇ willingness of transferring into land are agricultural production conditions, family members, agriculture income, agricultural preferential policy, the factors affecting the willingness of farmers transferring out land are family members, non - agricultural income, the transfer of rural labor force, rural social security system. Therefore, it is of great necessity to take corresponding policies to promote the rural land transfer in arid area.