| 入境旅游发展与经济增长的非线性关系——基于门限面板数据模型的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 武春友,谢风媛.入境旅游发展与经济增长的非线性关系——基于门限面板数据模型的实证研究[J].商业经济与管理,2010,1(2):76-83. |
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| 作者姓名： | 武春友 谢风媛 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连理工大学管理学院,辽宁大连,116024 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章应用门限面板数据模型，采用1997-2007年我国31个省、市、自治区的数据对我国经济增长与入境旅游业发展之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明入境旅游发展与经济增长之间存在门限效应，即入境旅游收入占GDP的百分比低于2.36%时,入境旅游业的发展对地区经济增长的促进作用并不显著；当该比例高于2.36%时，入境旅游业的发展对地区经济增长有显著促进作用。同时，研究结果表明处于两种状态下的地区其经济增长均不具有条件收敛性，入境旅游发展缩小区域差异的作用没有得到验证。
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| 关 键 词： | 入境旅游 经济增长 面板数据 门限回归 |
| 收稿时间： | 2009-08-05 |
Non-linear Relationship between International Tourism Development and Economic Growth:A Threshold Panel Data Approach |
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| WU Chun-you,XIE Feng-yuan.Non-linear Relationship between International Tourism Development and Economic Growth:A Threshold Panel Data Approach[J].Business Economics and Administration,2010,1(2):76-83. |
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| Authors: | WU Chun-you XIE Feng-yuan |
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| Institution: | WU Chun-you,XIE Feng-yuan (School of Management,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China) |
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| Abstract: | The paper studies the relationship between international tourism development and economic growth by applying threshold panel data model with panel data of 31 provinces in China from 1997 to 2007.Results show that there is a threshold effect between international tourism development and economic growth in China.When the ratio of international tourism receipts to GDP is lower than 2.36%,there is no significant relation between international tourism and economic growth;however,when the ratio is higher than 2.3... |
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| Keywords: | international tourism economic growth panel data threshold regression |
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