Synthesis of Complex Criteria Decision Making: A Case Towards a Consensus Agreement for a Middle East Conflict Resolution |
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Authors: | Jerry Zoffer Asma Bahurmoz Mohammed K Hamid Marcel Minutolo Thomas Saaty |
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Institution: | (1) University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA;(2) King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia;(3) Millersville University, Millersville, PA, USA |
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Abstract: | The title of this paper reflects both the process and the outcome of the current undertaking. Frustrated with the current
state of the Middle East but encouraged by earlier attempts at modeling complex problems, the authors participated in a panel
discussion assembled to address the conflict and propose a possible road-map to peace. However, the participants of this project
did not come to a single course of action that will result in peace in the Middle East but did reach a consensus agreement
about a resolution that needs to be managed. This paper explores the process, the outcome and the factors that influence the
decision as well as potential pitfalls. The Analytic Network Process (ANP), a well known multicriteria decision making approach,
applied frequently in recent years to examine conflicts around the world, is used in this analysis. It provides a framework
for synthesizing judgments on the diverse aspects of the problem represented in the structure of the decision. It pieces together
these judgments in a holistic and logical way. |
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Keywords: | Analytic Network Process Middle East Multicriteria decision making Conflict resolution Peace road map Israeli Palestinian dilemma |
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