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Risk aversion in a model of endogenous growth
Institution:1. Central Laboratory of Fujian Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Fujian 350003, China;2. State Key Laboratory Breeding Base of Marine Genetic Resource, Third Institute of Oceanography, SOA, Xiamen 361005, China;3. Collaborative Innovation Center of Deep Sea Biology, Hangzhou 310058, China;4. Inspection & Quarantine Technology Center, Xiamen Entry–exit Inspection and Quarantine Bureau (IQTC), Xiamen 361100, China
Abstract:Despite the evidence on incomplete financial markets and substantial risk being borne by innovators, current models of growth through creative destruction predominantly model innovators’ as risk neutral. Risk aversion is expected to reduce the incentive to innovate and we might fear that without insurance innovation completely disappears in the long run. The present paper introduces risk averse agents into an occupational choice model of endogenous growth in which insurance against failure to innovate is not available. We derive a clear negative relationship between the level of risk aversion and long run growth. Surprisingly, we show that in an equilibrium there exists a cut-off value of risk aversion below which the growth rate of the mass of innovators tends to a strictly positive constant. In this case, innovation persists on the long run and consumption per capita grows at a strictly positive rate. On the other hand, for levels of risk aversion above the cut-off value, the economy eventually stagnates.
Keywords:Endogenous growth  Risk aversion  Occupational choice
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