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基于灰色系统理论的湖南省物流需求预测分析
引用本文:平先秉.基于灰色系统理论的湖南省物流需求预测分析[J].商品储运与养护,2010(3).
作者姓名:平先秉
作者单位:湘潭职业技术学院;
摘    要:文中以灰色系统理论思想为指导,运用灰色GM(1,1)模型,以货运量表征物流规模。根据湖南省近10年来的物流需求变化,建立了灰色预测的GM(1,1)模型,预测湖南省今后5年的物流需求,为政府规划地区物流发展提供相关理论参考。

关 键 词:物流需求  货运量  灰色预测  GM(1  1)模型  

Analysis of the Logistics Demand in Hunan Province Based on Gray System Theory
PING Xian-bing.Analysis of the Logistics Demand in Hunan Province Based on Gray System Theory[J].Storage Transportation & Preservation of Commodities,2010(3).
Authors:PING Xian-bing
Institution:PING Xian-bing (Xiangtan Vocational , Technical College,Xiangtan 411105,China)
Abstract:This paper regards gray systematic theory as guidelines,Uses the gray GM(1,1) model,Signifies the logistics scale with the volume of goods transported.based on the past 10 years change of hunan's logistics demand,this paper establishes a gray forecast GM(1,1) model,then forecasts the next five years decade logistics demand of hunan province,according to some calculation,this paper provides theoretical reference for government to plan the development of re-gional logistics.
Keywords:logistics demand  volume of goods transported  gray forecast  GM(1  1)model  
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