基于主成分分析的山东省现代服务业发展水平综合评价

能耗低、污染少的现代服务业,是实现低碳消费和可持续发展的必经之路。应用主成分分析法建立现代服务业发展水平的综合评价模型,发现现代服务业的发展环境、发展规模是权重最大的主成分,其后依次是现代服务业的结构层次、现代服务业的发展潜力、现代服务业的发展速度。依据该综合评价模型,山东省现代服务业的发展水平在全国处于中上游,但在东部发达省市中的排名靠后。建议山东省政府通过采取如下措施提高现代服务业发展水平:加快推进城市化进程,加大城市基础设施建设力度;大力推进产业融合,重点推动生产性服务业的发展;改造升级传统服务业,大幅提升生活性服务业的层次;改革人才培养体系,为现代服务业发展提供智力支持。

A Comprehensive Evaluation on Development Level of Modern Service Industry of Shandong Province Based on Principal Component Analysis

Modern service industry,with the characteristics of low-energy and less pollution,is a necessary way of realizing low carbon consumption and sustainable development.Though establishing a comprehensive evaluation model of modern service industry with principal component analysis,the thesis discovers that: the development environment and scale of modern service industry are the first principal component;the structural layers of it,the development potential of it and the development speed of it is the following principal component.Evaluated by the comprehensive evaluation model,the development level of Shandong province’s modern service industry is above the average of China,but it is lower than any other advanced eastern provinces and municipalities.It is suggested that the government of Shandong province should take the following measures to improve its modern service industry: Firstly,boosting the process of urbanization and improving the construction of urban infrastructure.Secondly,vigorously promoting industry convergence and paying more attention to developing productive service industry.Thirdly,reconstructing and upgrading traditional service industry and enhancing in a large scale the level of life service industry.Lastly,reforming personnel training system,in order to provide intellectual support for modern service industry.