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Institutional investor sentiment and aggregate stock returns
Authors:Xiang Gao  Chen Gu  Kees Koedijk
Affiliation:1. Research Center of Finance, Shanghai Business School, Shanghai, China;2. School of Economics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), London, UK

Abstract:This paper examines the equity market return predictability of institutional investor sentiment, in comparison to individual investor sentiment. Our findings suggest that institutional traders are informed and that their sentiment helps to tilt stock prices towards the intrinsic value. This is because the sentiment of institutions encompasses news regarding expectations on future cash flows of underlying firms that impounds itself into future price expectations. In this study, we add to the large number of studies that investigate the role and implications of investor sentiment, which has long been viewed as a pure behavioural phenomenon, on market efficiency and price discovery.
Keywords:cash flows  institutional investors  retail traders  return predictability  sentiment
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