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土地利用持续性的生态足迹评价法
引用本文:曹敏,卞正富,沈泉飞.土地利用持续性的生态足迹评价法[J].生态经济(学术版),2007(1).
作者姓名:曹敏  卞正富  沈泉飞
作者单位:中国矿业大学国土资源研究所 江苏徐州221008
基金项目:教育部新世纪人才基金(编号:NCET-04-0487)
摘    要:本文运用生态足迹模型和灰色预测法,基于生态可持续性评估方法度量人地协调性,探讨土地可持续利用的生态足迹评价法。研究结果表明随着人口增长和经济发展,我国土地利用状况不断变化,1978年开始出现生态赤字,并持续增长,直到1996年开始稍有缓和,但土地利用仍处于非可持续状态。作者认为生态足迹评价法能定量地反映土地利用和经济发展的协调性,引导人类社会积极采取应对措施,促进土地可持续利用。

关 键 词:土地利用  持续性  生态足迹  生态承载力  灰色预测  生物生产性土地

Study on the Evaluation of Sustainable Land Use-Based on Ecological Footprint Model
CAO Min,BIAN Zheng-fu,SHEN Quan-fei.Study on the Evaluation of Sustainable Land Use-Based on Ecological Footprint Model[J].Ecological Economy,2007(1).
Authors:CAO Min  BIAN Zheng-fu  SHEN Quan-fei
Abstract:The purpose of the study is to measure coordination between human and land based on evaluation of ecological sustainability and explore evaluation of sustainable land use based on ecological footprint.Methods of ecological footprint model and grey prediction were employed.The results indicate that land-use condition changed continuously along with population growth and economic development.Appeared in 1978,ecological deficit is keeping on growing.While there has been a little mitigation since 1996,land use is still non-sustainable.The evaluation based on ecological footprint can reflect coordination between land use and economic development,lead human to adopt measure actively to promote sustainable land use.
Keywords:land use  sustainability  ecological footprint  ecological capacity  grey prediction  bio-productive land
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