收入分配与工业化关系——基于墨菲等人工业化理论的协整分析

文章根据墨菲等人的收入分配与工业化关系理论模型,运用计量经济协整检验方法对我国城乡收入分配、市场规模与工业化关系进行了实证分析。分析表明,我国城乡居民收入水平提高与收入分配差距扩大是推动我国工业化水平提高的重要原因,居民特别是农民整体收入水平偏低、购买力不强仍然是阻碍工业化进程,导致有效需求不足的主要原因。为从根本上解决有效需求不足问题,必须大力发展生产力,加速二元经济向现代经济转变,努力提高低收入群体特别是农民的收入水平,促进合理要素价格的形成,建立有效的个人收入分配税收调控体系,完善社会保障制度。

The Relationship between Income Distribution and Industrialization

The authors use co-integration test to analyze the relationship between income distribution,market size and industrialization through collecting the data of income distribution,market size and industrialization during 1978-2004 according the theories model of relationship between income distribution and industrialization based on Murphy and others.The experience data shows: the increase of the income level and the extended disparity of the income distribution is the important reason that pushes the development of industrialization level in our country.The price of industrial commodity and the industrialization level presents a contrary relation.Yet the inflexion of "adverse U curve" of our country hasn't appeared.