How elections affect fiscal policy and growth: revisiting the mechanism |
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Authors: | George Economides Apostolis Philippopoulos Simon Price |
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Affiliation: | a Athens University of Economics and Business, P.O. Box 31763, Athens 100 35, Greece;b CESifo, Munich, Germany;c Bank of England, Threadneedle Street, London EC2R 8AH, UK;d City University, Northampton Square, London EC1V OHB, UK |
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Abstract: | This paper reconsiders the popular result that the lower is the probability of reelection, the greater is the incentive of incumbent politicians to choose short-sighted, inefficient policies. The set-up is a general equilibrium model of economic growth, in which fiscal policy is endogenously chosen under electoral uncertainty. Political parties can value possible economic benefits differently depending on whether they are in or out of power, and—by contrast with the literature—the relevant preference coefficient is a choice variable rather than an exogenous taste parameter. The main result is that, when political parties choose both economic policy instruments and preference coefficients, the fundamental reason for short-sighted policy is the extra rents from being in power per se. |
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Keywords: | Elections Fiscal policy Economic growth General equilibrium |
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