消费性支出的预测及量化分析

消费性支出的预测无疑对宏观调控、微观经济发展都将具有重大的指导意义。现在利用灰色模型和线性回归模型,以西安市为例。对西安市居民消费性支出情况进行建模预测、量化分析。实际结果证明预测是成功的。为探索、启动新一轮消费提供决策依据,以便形成消费对经济增长的强力拉动。

Forecast and Quantitative Analysis of Consumption Payout

The forecast of consumption payout possesses great guidance meaning for development of macroscopic control and microcosmic economy. We applied grey model and linear regression model to make the model building forecast and do quatiative analysis for resident consumption payout of Xi'an city, and the actual result proved that the forecast is successful. The action is to provide the policy decision basis for exploring and starting a another round of consumption, so as to form the strong pulling power from comsumption to economic growth.