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Common analyst links and predictable returns: Evidence from China
Affiliation:1. Seoul National University, 1 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, Korea;2. Sejong University, 209 Neungdong-ro, Gwangjin-gu, Seoul, Korea
Abstract:Based on shared analyst coverage, we are the first to document the common-analyst momentum (CAM) effect in China. Empirically, we show that average returns of common-analyst peer firms have strong predictive power for future focal firm returns. Moreover, the CAM effect is stronger than other cross-asset momentum (XAM) effects. Interestingly but differently, the CAM cannot unify other XAM effects as the U.S. market does. Exploiting the underlying mechanism, we find that common-analyst-connected firms are fundamentally similar. Further, the CAM effect is stronger when inter-firm linkages are stronger when the information processing task is more complex and on earnings announcement dates. We conclude that sluggish analyst forecasting and investors’ attention constraint could contribute to the stronger CAM effect, and our results support the hypothesis that slow information diffusion generates the CAM effect.
Keywords:Shared analyst coverage  Common-analyst momentum  Linked firms  Cross-asset momentum  Return predictability  G10  G12  G14  G15  G17
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