Credit market imperfections and persistent unemployment |
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| Institution: | 1. Bank of Japan, Japan;2. Center for Social Systems Innovation, Kobe University, 2-1 Rokkodaicho, Nada Kobe, Hyogo 6570013, Japan;1. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 33 Liberty St, New York, NY 10045, USA;2. Nova School of Business and Economics, Campus de Campolide, Lisboa 1099-032, Portugal;3. CEMFI, Casado del Alisal 5, Madrid 28014, Spain;1. Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States;2. University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom;3. NBER, Cambridge, MA, United States;4. CEPR, London, United Kingdom;5. University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom;6. GEP, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom;7. CESifo, Germany |
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| Abstract: | This paper develops the thesis that credit market frictions may be an important contributor to high unemployment in Europe. When a change in the technological regime necessitates the creation of new firms, this can happen relatively rapidly in the U.S. where credit markets function efficiently. In contrast, in Europe, job creation is constrained by credit market imperfections, so unemployment rises and remains high for an extended period. The data show that there has not been slower growth in the most credit dependent industries in Europe relative to the U.S., but the share of employment in these industries is lower than in the U.S. This suggests that although credit market imperfections are unlikely to have been the major cause of the increase in European unemployment, they may have played some role in limiting European employment growth. |
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