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| 供求冲击与中国的产业波动 | |
| 引用本文： | 王延军,温娇秀. 供求冲击与中国的产业波动[J]. 财经科学, 2011, 0(4) |
| 作者姓名： | 王延军 温娇秀 |
| 作者单位： | 王延军,Wang Yanjun(上海财经大学公共政策研究中心,上海,200433);温娇秀,Wen Jiaoxiu(复旦大学理论经济学博士后流动站,上海,200433) |
| 摘 要： | 甄别供给与需求冲击在我国各次产业波动中的地位和作用,是有效制定宏观管理政策,特别是产业政策的重要前提条件.本文借鉴修正后的两变量SVAR模型对我国各次产业波动中的供求冲击进行了分析.蛄果发现,供给冲击比需求冲击在我国各次产业产出波动的形成中发挥着更为重要的作用,这在第二产业中体现得最为明显,其次是第三产业,最后是第一产业;在第一产业中,供给冲击对价格水平波动的影响更大,而在第二、第三产业中,需求冲击比供给冲击具有更高的相对方差贡献率. |
| 关 键 词： | 供求冲击 产业波动 SVAR模型 |
Shocks of Supply and Demand on the Industrial Fluctuation in China |
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| Wang Yanjun,Wen Jiaoxiu. Shocks of Supply and Demand on the Industrial Fluctuation in China[J]. Finance and Economics, 2011, 0(4) | |
| Authors: | Wang Yanjun Wen Jiaoxiu |
| Affiliation: | Wang Yanjun1 Wen Jiaoxiu2 |
| Abstract: | Identifying the position and function of supply shocks and demand shocks on industry fluctuation is the important prerequisite for effective macro policy,especially the industrial policy.This paper analyzed the supply and demand shocks on industry with revised SVAR model,It finds,supply shocks are more important than the demand shocks on the output fluctuation in every industry,which the most obvious in the secondary industry,the next in the tertiary industry;the last in the first industry;According to the ... |
| Keywords: | Economic Shocks Industrial Fluctuation SVAR Model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |