中部地区对外贸易影响因素的实证分析

长期以来，尽管中部地区对外贸易取得了较快地发展，但在全国依然处于比较落后的地位。本文利用最新时间序列数据，通过建立多变量回归模型，对中部地区对外贸易的影响因素进行了实证分析。分析认为，中部地区出口贸易和进口贸易的影响因素存在很大差异。出口贸易影响因素主要是贸易条件、进口贸易和全社会固定资产投资；而进口贸易的主要影响因素是汇率、国内生产总值、外商直接投资和人力资本；很多影响因素对中部地区对外贸易没有起到应有的作用。

Foreign trade influencing factor demonstration analyses central region

Despite of central region foreign trade has got quicker field develop, but be in as before in the whole nation the position falling behind comparatively for a long time. Up-to-date time series data the main body of a book is made use of, the demonstration having been in progress by building the multivariate return model , to central region foreign trade influencing factor analyses. Analyse very big difference thinking , there existing in export trade and the import trade influencing factor central region： Export trade influencing factor is terms of trade , import trade and total investment in fixed assets for the whole society mainly, but that the import trade main part affects a factor is exchange rate , gross domestic product , foreign direct investment and human capital, Much influencing factor does not play arrive at due role to central region foreign trade.