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采伐制度的制定与林农采伐行为的博弈分析
引用本文:李莉.采伐制度的制定与林农采伐行为的博弈分析[J].科技和产业,2011,11(11):68-70.
作者姓名:李莉
作者单位:闽江学院爱恩国际学院,福州,350108
摘    要:运用博弈论的方法对森林采伐制度的制定和林农采伐行为进行分析,从而解释我国森林采伐制度制定的历史必然性;同时通过无限次重复博弈的分析得出改善林业管理制度的办法是:①引导林农的长期投资;②选择性地放开森林采伐限额管制;③林业政策的制定要遵循稳定性、连贯性的原则。

关 键 词:森林采伐制度  博弈分析  林农采伐行为  纳什均衡

Game Theory in Analyzing Forestry Cutting System's Formulation and Farmers' Cutting Behavior
LI Li.Game Theory in Analyzing Forestry Cutting System's Formulation and Farmers' Cutting Behavior[J].SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL,2011,11(11):68-70.
Authors:LI Li
Institution:LI Li (IEN Institute of Minjiang University,Fuzhou 350108,China)
Abstract:The article uses the game theory to analyze how the forestry cutting system to be formulated and the farmers' cutting behavior to be chosen in history,and also confirm its necessity.Then the article uses Nash Equilibrium of infinitely repeated gambling to work out the solutions.Firstly,the government must encourage farmers to carry on the stable long-term investment.Secondly,open the forest harvesting quota control selectively.Thirdly,the principle of forestry policy's formulation must be stable and coheren...
Keywords:forestry cutting system  game theory  farmers' cutting behavior  Nash equilibrium  
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