| 青海省物流需求规模预测的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨亚,巩杰.青海省物流需求规模预测的实证分析[J].科技和产业,2011,11(11):84-88. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨亚 巩杰 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 青海大学财经学院,西宁,810016
2. 国家开发银行青海省分行,西宁,810001 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用灰色GM（1,1）预测模型,选取货运量为指标,根据统计数据建立了青海省铁路和公路物流需求规模模型,并对青海省十二五期间的物流需求规模进行了预测,在一定程度上能够为青海省物流业发展提供定量依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 物流需求 规模预测 GM（1 1）模型 货运量 |
An Empirical Analysis of Forecasts about Qinghai Logistics Demand Scale |
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| YANG Ya,GONG Jie.An Empirical Analysis of Forecasts about Qinghai Logistics Demand Scale[J].SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL,2011,11(11):84-88. |
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| Authors: | YANG Ya GONG Jie |
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| Institution: | YANG Ya1,GONG Jie2(1.College of Finance,Qinghai University,Xining 810016,China,2.CDB Qinghai Branch,Xining 810001,China) |
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| Abstract: | Basing on the GM(1,1) prediction model,this paper selects the Qinghai cargo volume of rail and road logistics,and establishes GM(1,1) prediction model about them,predicting the scale of Qinghai logistics demand during the 12th five-year-plan period.The results to some extent are able to provide quantitative basis for the development of the logistics industry in Qinghai Province. |
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| Keywords: | logistics requirements scale prediction GM(1 1) prediction model cargo |
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