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International parity relationships between Germany and the USA revisited: evidence from the post-DM period
Authors:Robert Czudaj  Jan Prüser
Affiliation:1. Department of Economics, Chair for Econometrics, University of Duisburg-Essen, D-45117 Essen, Germany;2. FOM Hochschule für Oekonomie &3. Management, University of Applied Sciences, D-45127 Essen, Germanyrobert.czudaj@uni-due.de;5. Department of Economics, University of Duisburg-Essen, D-45117 Essen, Germany
Abstract:In this study, we show the interrelation of the purchasing power parity and the uncovered interest rate parity between the US and Germany for the recent period running from 1999:01 to 2014:04. This study extends the literature by testing both hypotheses simultaneously in a multivariate ECM. This has the advantage that interactions between capital and goods markets can be considered simultaneously. Our finding of two long-run relationships between the variables shows that a disequilibrium in one of the two markets leads to a disequilibrium in the other. While analysing the reaction to cumulative shocks, we show that US variables have a greater impact on German variables than vice versa. Therefore, the rising importance of the euro and the increased integration of the European Union in the recent decade have not changed this relation.
Keywords:cointegration  error-correction  moving-average  PPP  UIP
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