基于动态因子分析法的区域开放型经济发展水平测度研究

既有区域开放型经济发展水平的测度研究仍主要以静态分析为主，动态分析尚显不足。本文基于最新研究进展，通过构建开放型经济发展水平测度指标体系，截取2005～2014年各区域统计年鉴相关指标数据，并借助STATA统计分析工具，运用动态因子分析法测度研究我国区域开放型经济发展水平及其变化趋势，从横向和纵向两条线分析我国区域开放型经济发展水平并提出相关对策及建议。实证研究表明：（1）从空间分布状态来看，我国区域开放型经济发展水平自东向西逐步降低，与区域经济发展水平呈现高度相关关系；（2）从时间维度动态趋势变化来看，开放型经济发展水平呈现V、倒V、M、W 4种变化趋势，同时存在时间和空间上的规律性。基于实证结果提出扩大内陆地区全方位开放格局及协调产业体系建设和进一步完善开放型经济发展新体制的发展思路。

Study on the Measurement of Regional Open Economy Development Level Based on Dynamic Factor Analysis

The research on the measurement of regional open economic development still mainly focuses on static analysis,and dynamic analysis is not enough.Based on the latestresearch progress,this paper constructs the open economy development level measurement index system,intercepts the relevant statistical data of each regional statistical yearbook from 2005 to 2014,and uses the STATA statistical analysis tool,uses dynamic factor analysis method to study the regional open economy development level.This paper analyzes the level of China's regional open economy development from two horizontal and vertical lines and puts forward some relevant countermeasures and suggestions.The empirical research shows that:（1）from the spatial distribution,the development level of China's regional open economy is decreasing from east to west,which is highly correlated with the level of regionaleconomic development;（2）from the dynamic trend of time dimension,the level ofeconomic development presents V,inverted V,M,W four trends,while the existence of temporal and spatial regularity.Based on the empirical results,this paper puts forward the idea of expanding all-round opening-up pattern of inland areas andcoordinating the construction of industrial system and further improving the new system of open economy development.