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Is the natural resource production a blessing or curse for China's urbanization? Evidence from a space–time panel data model
Institution:1. Federal Government of Brazil, Ministry of the Economy, National Treasury Attorney’s Office in the State of Santa Catarina, Rua Arcipreste Paiva 107, Centro, Florianópolis, SC, 88010-530, Brazil;2. Department of Economics and Finance, University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, 1201 West University Drive, Edinburg, TX, 78539, USA;1. School of Public Affairs, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, 200 Xiaolingwei, Nanjing 210094, People''s Republic of China;2. School of Medicine, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing 210009, People''s Republic of China;3. School of Economy and Management, Southeast University, 2 Sipailou, Nanjing 210096, People''s Republic of China;1. Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong;2. Department of Asian and Policy Studies, The Hong Kong Institute of Education, Tai Po, New Territories, Hong Kong;1. Madden School of Business, Le Moyne College, 1419 Salt Springs Road, Syracuse, NY, 13214, USA;2. Division of Social Sciences, University of Minnesota-Morris, Morris, MN, 56267, USA;3. Department of Humanities and Social Sciences, IIT Madras, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, 600036, India;1. International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., USA;2. Foundation for Alternative Approaches to Africa’s Development (FAAD), Yaounde, Cameroon
Abstract:This paper provides an analytical framework to evaluate under what conditions the natural resource production could promote or hinder urbanization process, focusing on factors mostly relevant for China. Considering both structure breaks and cross-sectional dependence as well as spatial spillovers, the study deploys a comprehensive approach to rigorously prove the validity of the proposed space–time panel data model that includes the second generation panel unit root test and panel cointegration, panel threshold regression and spatial panel Durbin model. The results not only offer strong evidences that the natural resource production non-linearly impacts on urbanization process, but also show that there exists a dynamic response over time and space as well as space–time diffusion impact, in which these percentages are different from each other confirming an asymmetric effect of the natural resource production on urbanization process.
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