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Stationary equilibrium transition rules for an overlapping generations model with uncertainty
Authors:John P Laitner
Affiliation:Department of Economics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109 USA
Abstract:An overlapping generations model incorporating random production shocks is studied. Households have finite life spans. Futures markets are incomplete. Agents have full information in one case, and receive only a limited signal in another. In both instances the existence of a time-autonomous transition rule is proved such that if all agents forecast using it, the economy's actual growth will bear the predictions out. The rule corresponds to a steady state for a non-stochastic model. With limited information, it is seen to depend on all past signals. Several approximation theorems which may facilitate future applications are presented.
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