| 新疆对外贸易与经济增长研究——基于协整与Granger因果分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 永春芳,双文元,杨梅.新疆对外贸易与经济增长研究——基于协整与Granger因果分析[J].北方经贸,2008(9). |
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| 作者姓名： | 永春芳 双文元 杨梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆农业大学经济与管理学院,乌鲁木齐,830052 |
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| 摘 要： | GDP与对外贸易有一定的因果关系,对外贸易额是GDP变化的原因之一。改革开放以来,新疆经济快速发展。新疆对外贸易是推动经济增长的重要因素;对外贸易总量与经济发展总量同步;它们关系越来越密切,贸易的依存度提高;对外贸易结构的调整促进了新疆经济结构的发展。
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| 关 键 词： | 对外贸易 经济增长 协整分析 Granger因果检验 |
A Study on the Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Xinjiang Based on Co-integration and Granger Test |
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| Yong Chun fang,Shuang Wen yuan,Yang Mei.A Study on the Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Xinjiang Based on Co-integration and Granger Test[J].Northern Economy and Trade,2008(9). |
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| Authors: | Yong Chun fang Shuang Wen yuan Yang Mei |
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| Abstract: | The results show that GDP and foreign trade have some causal relationship and the foreign trade volume is one of the reasons for change in GDP.Since reformation and opening,the economic development is rapid in Xinjiang.Xinjiang's foreign trade is the important factors to promote the economic growth.The total foreign trade volume and the economic development is in-phase.Their relation is becoming closer and the economic dependence on the foreign trade has increased.The restructuring of foreign trade has promoted the development of Xinjiang's economic structure. |
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| Keywords: | foreign trade economic growth co-integration analysis Granger causality test |
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