防范潜在财政风险适度控制国债规模

作者从国债需求、国民经济的应债能力、财政的偿债能力等方面全方位、多角度地考察了我国的国债规模,认为从静态看我国国债规模仍处在适度区间内,但从动态趋势看,我国国债规模扩张速度过快,加上隐性债务及或有债务,正面临巨大的债务压力和与日俱增的潜在风险,国债规模处于国民经济应债能力宽松而财政债务负担沉重的矛盾之中.本文提出了适度控制国债规模,防范潜在财政风险的对策建议.

Preventing the Potential Fiscal Risk and Controlling the Size of Government Debts

The author has discussed the size of government debts from bond needs, the ability of the private sector to buy and the ability of government to repay. The author thinks, the size of government debts has been suitable from a point of static state; but from a point of dynamic trends, government debts has spread too fast and China is facing huge debts pressure and increasingly potential risk if some hidden government debts and probable debts are considered. Finally, the author has presented some suggestions to control the size of government debts and to prevent the fiscal risks.