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Convergence of Real Capital Market Interest Rates—Evidence from Inflation Indexed Bonds
Authors:HELMUT HERWARTZ  JAN ROESTEL
Institution:1. Helmut Herwartz is the Institut für Statistik und ?konometrie, Christian–Albrechts–Universit?t zu Kiel (E‐mail: h.herwartz@stat‐econ.uni‐kiel.de);2. Jan Roestel is the Institut für Statistik und ?konometrie, Christian–Albrechts–Universit?t zu Kiel (E‐mail: jr@stat‐econ.uni‐kiel.de).
Abstract:This paper investigates the convergence of long‐term ex ante real interest rates (RIRs) obtained from Canadian, French, UK, and U.S. inflation indexed government bonds. In contrast to previous research, our evidence suggests full convergence in the long run and, hence, capital market integration. For the same sample period, global convergence is rejected for RIRs measured in conventional terms. From these results, we conclude that previous tests of the long‐run real interest rate parity might have suffered from weak measurement of real capital market interest rates.
Keywords:C32  E44  F36  G15  Treasury inflation‐protected securities  real interest parity  uncovered interest parity  ex ante real interest rates  market integration  U  S  dominance
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