资源配置、全要素生产率与农业经济增长愿景

对2004~2010年我国不同地区农业的资源配置扭曲情况的分析表明:由于"二元经济"的影响,我国农业的资本和劳动存在着明显的跨部门配置扭曲。如能有效消除此类扭曲,我国农业TFP能提高6%~36%。各地区的资源再配置效应对农业TFP增长率有着显著影响,并且各地区的资源再配置效应存在明显差异。对全国各个地区而言,土地资源再配置效应都是影响农业资源再配置效应的主要因素,资本和劳动再配置效应则相对较弱。由此可见,促进城乡资本和劳动力市场一体化以及进一步完善农村土地流转市场是现阶段降低农业资源配置扭曲、促进农业TFP增长的主要途径。

Resource Distribution,Total Factor Productivity and the Future of Agricultural Economic Growth

The author analyzes agricultural resources misallocation effect on agricultural total factor productivity(TFP),from 2004 to 2010 in China.The results show that: As a result of "dual economy",agriculture capital and labor in our country has obvious cross-sectional misallocation.If resources misallocation can be effectively eliminated,agriculture TFP in our country will improve 6%~36%;resources reallocation has a significant impact on agricultural TFP growth,and the regional resource reallocation effect is significantly different;in all regions in China,the effect of land reallocation is the main factor which affects agricultural resources reallocation,capital and labor is relatively weak.Therefore,promoting integration of urban and rural capital and labor market and further improving the rural land transfer market is the main ways to reduce resources misallocation and promote agricultural TFP growth.