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Telecommunication externality on migration: Evidence from Chinese villages
Affiliation:1. National University of Singapore, Singapore;2. Antai College of Economics and Management Shanghai Jiaotong University, China;3. World Bank, United States;1. The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China;2. Bank for International Settlements, Basel, Switzerland;1. Department of Economics and Finance, Hanyang University, 222 Wangsimni-ro, Seongdong-gu, Seoul 133-791, Republic of Korea;2. Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 2200 N. Pearl Street, Dallas, TX 75201, United States
Abstract:We use a unique data set of Chinese villages to investigate whether access to telecommunications, in particular, landline phones, increases the likelihood of outmigration. By using regional and time variations in the installation of landline phones, our difference-in-difference estimation shows that the access to landline phones increases the ratio of out-migrant workers by 2 percentage points, or about 51% of the sample mean in China. The results remain robust to a battery of validity checks. Furthermore, landline phones affect outmigration through two channels: information access on job opportunities and especially timely contact with left-behind family members. Our findings underscore the positive migration externality of expanding telecommunications access in rural areas, especially in places where migration potential is large.
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