我国农村居民消费与收入关系实证分析

近年来,由于城市居民消费水平已经达到了一定的高度,增长相对放缓,而农村居民收入增长缓慢,导致消费持续低迷,这已经成为制约我国进一步扩大内需保证国民经济持续、快速、协调、健康发展的重要因素。利用1990年至2007年消费收入数据建立模型,从而得到上期收入、上期消费以及本期收入对本期消费的影响,并对近几年农村消费增长率的变化进行原因分析,同时提出刺激消费增加收入的可行性建议。

The Empirical Analysing on the Relations between the Consumption with Income in Rural Residents of China

In recent years,the consumption level of urban has reached a certain height,the relative slowdown in growth,while the consumption level of rural area what has become a constraint to the sustained,rapid,coordinated and healthy development of the economy in china.In this paper,according to the model based on the data from 1990 to 2007,we get the effect of the income,the consumption in the last year and the current income to the current consumption and analyze the cause of the growth rate of rural consumption,...