| 农业发展与经济增长的变结构协整关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李松臣,张世英.农业发展与经济增长的变结构协整关系研究[J].当代经济管理,2006,28(3):15-18. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李松臣 张世英 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学,理学院、管理学院,天津,300072 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70471050)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用变结构协整理论研究我国农业发展与经济增长的长期均衡关系,采用循序检验法确定变结构点,发现在1961年和1980年农业发展与经济增长均衡关系发生突变;对1952～2003年的数据进行变结构协整检验,得到两段变结构形式,表现为参数变结构的水平趋势项飘移型和状态开关型协整关系,最后建立了误差修正模型。
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| 关 键 词： | 变结构 协整 经济增长 农业发展 |
| 文章编号： | 1673-0461(2006)03-0015-04 |
Agricultural Development and Economic Growth: Co-integration with Structural Changes |
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| LI Song-chen,ZHANG Shi-ying.Agricultural Development and Economic Growth: Co-integration with Structural Changes[J].Contemporary Economic Management,2006,28(3):15-18. |
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| Authors: | LI Song-chen ZHANG Shi-ying |
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| Abstract: | The long-term equilibrium between agricultural development and economic growth in China is discussed by co-integration analysis with structural change in this paper. The changes of the long-term equilibrium between them are detected in 1961 and 1980 by the sequential test. The co-integration analysis subject to structural change is performed in the period of 1952-2003, two stage-forms of structural change are constructed which indicates parameter changed co-integration with level and trend shifted and state switched. Finally error correction model is built. |
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| Keywords: | structural change co-integration economic growth development of agriculture |
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