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Scaling the volatility of GDP growth rates
Authors:D. Canning   L. A. N. Amaral   Y. Lee   M. Meyer  H. E. Stanley
Affiliation:aQueen's University of Belfast, Belfast, UK;bHarvard Institute for International Development, 1 Eliot Street, Cambridge 02138, MA, USA;cBoston University, Boston, MA, USA;dMassachusetts Institute of Technology, Boston, MA, USA
Abstract:
The distribution of shocks to GDP growth rates is found to be exponential rather than normal. Their standard deviation scales with GDPβ where β=−0.15±0.03. These macroeconomic results place restrictions on the microeconomic structure of interactions between agents.
Keywords:Real Business Cycles   Country Size   Scale Effects   Volatility   Network Models
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