aQueen's University of Belfast, Belfast, UK;bHarvard Institute for International Development, 1 Eliot Street, Cambridge 02138, MA, USA;cBoston University, Boston, MA, USA;dMassachusetts Institute of Technology, Boston, MA, USA
Abstract:
The distribution of shocks to GDP growth rates is found to be exponential rather than normal. Their standard deviation scales with GDPβ where β=−0.15±0.03. These macroeconomic results place restrictions on the microeconomic structure of interactions between agents.