河北省对外贸易、FDI与经济增长关系的协整分析

在经济全球化浪潮下,对外贸易及FDI对经济的拉动作用日益凸显。自2001年以来河北省对外贸易与FDI的增长速度均高于全国平均水平,对经济的促进作用十分明显,因而研究对外贸易、FDI与经济增长的关系具有重要的现实意义。本文利用1989～2007年河北省的相关宏观经济数据,通过协整分析和误差修正模型来分析对外贸易、FDI与经济增长的长期均衡和短期非均衡的数量经济关系,并在此基础上提出相应的对策与建议。

Analysis of Hebei province foreign trade,FDI and economy growth relation＇s coordinative relation

Under the tide of economic globalization,the pulling effect of foreign trade and FDI on the economy has been increasingly prominent.Since 2001,the growth rate of foreign trade and that of FDI in Hebei Province are higher than the national average,which play an important role in promoting the growth of HeBei’ s economy.Therefore,study on the relationship between foreign trade,FDI and economic growth has important practical significance.In this paper,based on the macroeconomic data of Hebei Province in 1989-2007,using the co-integration analysis and error correction model,the authors analyze the long-run equilibrium and short-run non-equilibrium between foreign trade,FDI and economic growth in HeBei province.Finally,some corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.