基于博弈论的水权交易市场研究

针对用水户交易的情况之一———一对一用户的购(售)水交易,运用博弈论中双向拍卖和序贯谈判的相关知识,分析双方在交易中的利益博弈问题。得出结论:双方收集可靠信息,提高己方对对方的预测的准确程度也是在谈判中使己方获得最大收益的主要因素,可为将来交易市场中两个供水户和两个用水户直接交易提供参考。

Studies on water right transactions based on Game Theory

Along with the standing out of water resources supply-damand conflicts,water market emerges as the times require.Carrying out the study on water right transaction,especially the bargaining modes and the profit distribution among all of the members,will play a very important role in the development of water market and its perfecting.The article for one of the cases in users,the transaction between one to one user,the profit game of both sides in the transaction are studied by means of the mutual auction and sequential negotiation in the Game Theory.It provides reference to researches on direct transaction in water market.