产业结构调整、能源消费与经济增长关系的实证研究

基于产业结构、能源消费和经济增长的关系，选取1978—2008年的年度时间序列数据，采用“修正”的新古典生产函数，在协整分析的基础之上，综合运用格兰杰因果关系检验和脉冲响应函数的研究方法，对中国的三次产业结构、能源消费与经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。结果显示：除了第二产业对能源需求产生压力之外，第三产业也表现出了对能源消费的增长势头。在此基础上，提出了简要的政策建议。

An Empirical Study on the Industrial Structure Adjustment,Energy Consumption and Economic Development

Based on the modified Neo-classic production function,the yearly time serial data from 1978 to 2008,applying Granger Causality Test and impulse response function analysis,this paper investigates the relationship among industry structure,energy consumption and economic development in China through Cointegration Analysis.The results show that not only the second industry engenders pressure of energy demand,the third industry also manifests a tendency of energy consumption increase.Finally,some brief policy su...