我国区域经济增长收敛的计量分析

本文利用区域面板数据，对1979--2006年我国区域经济增长的收敛性进行了计量分析。研究结果表明，改革开放以来我国区域经济增长不存在绝对收敛趋势，但东、中、西部三大经济带基本上存在收敛趋势，形成了所谓的“收敛俱乐部”现象；在条件收敛回归中，如果控制了投资率、人力资本水平、非国有化水平、对外开放度、基础设施水平和产业结构等经济变量，我国区域经济增长则呈现显著的条件收敛。

The Quantitative Analysis on Regional Economic Growth and Convergence in China

Using the Panel data,this paper analyzes regional economic growth and convergence in China during 1979-2006.The result shows that there isn’t the convergence trend in regional economic growth in China since Reform and Openning;however,there exists the so-called convergence clubs in east,central and west regions of China;in the regression of conditional convergence,if some economic variables such as investment rate,human capital level,level of non-state,economic opening degree,level of infrastructure and industrial structure are controlled,China’s regional economic growth will take on the obvious conditional convergence.