经济制度变迁、产业结构演变与中国经济高质量发展

本文基于1978~2017年中国大陆31个省份的面板数据,考察经济制度变迁、产业结构演变对经济高质量发展的影响。研究发现,产业结构演变不仅对中国经济高质量发展产生直接影响,还通过对生产要素的资源配置功能发挥作用,对经济发展产生间接影响;经济制度主要通过纠正资源错配和促进产业结构优化,间接促进中国经济高质量发展。为此,应继续推进经济制度改革,释放"制度红利"以弥补"结构红利"的消解;各地区应视区情实施不同产业经济政策,东部重点发展高端制造业和现代化服务业,中西部应加快形成二三产业协同发展的双引擎,东北地区则要尽快找准契合地区经济实际的产业结构调整方向。

Economic Institutional Changes,Industrial Structure Evolution and High-Quality Growth of China's Economy

Based on panel data from 31 provinces in China's Mainland from 1978 to 2017, this paper examines the impact of economic institutional changes and industrial structure evolution on the high quality development of China’s economy.The study finds that the industrial structure evolution not only has a direct impact on the high quality development of China’s economy, but also exerts an indirect impact on economic development by acting on the resource allocation function of production factors. The economic system indirectly promotes the high-quality development of China’s economy by correcting resource mismatches and promoting industrial structure optimization.To this end, we should continue to promote the reform of the economic system and release the "institutional dividends" to make up for the dissolution of the "structural dividends". Each region should implement different industrial economic policies depending on the local conditions.The eastern should focus on developing high-end manufacturing and modern service industries. The Central and Western should accelerate the formation of twin engines for the coordinated development of the secondary and tertiary industries.The Northeast should find the direction of industrial structure adjustment that fits the actual conditions of the regional economy as soon as possible.