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The stability threshold and two facets of polarization
Authors:Ori Haimanko  Michel Le Breton  Shlomo Weber
Institution:(1) Department of Economics, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, 84105, Israel;(2) GREMAQ and IDEI, Manufacture des Tabacs, Université de Toulouse I, Aile Jean-Jacques Laffont 21, Alle de Brienne, Toulouse, 31000, France;(3) Department of Economics, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, TX, USA;(4) CORE, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, 1348, Belgium
Abstract:In this paper we introduce the stability threshold that quantifies the minimal returns to size sufficient to prevent credible secession threats by regions of the country. Severity of internal tension has been linked to degree of polarization of citizens’ preferences and characteristics. We show that the increasing degree of polarization does not, in general, raise the stability threshold, even though this hypothesis holds in some asymptotic sense. We also examine the question of the number of smaller countries to be created if the unity of the large country is not sustainable, and investigate the link between this number and the degree of the country polarization. JEL Classification Numbers H20, D70, D73
Keywords:Polarization  Secession  Stability threshold  Clusters
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