中国农民消费问题的计量分析

中国农村消费持续低迷的态势阻碍了经济发展和农民生活水平的提高。论文以二十世纪50年代以来农民消费的演变趋势与特征为基础,以计量研究为侧重点,对农民消费影响因素进行了回归分析,并从定量研究的角度证明造成这一问题的主要原因是农民收入水平低下、农业生产资料价格和农村消费品价格的同时上涨。必须通过增加农民收入、加强农村基础设施建设、健全农村社会保障制度等措施来扩大农村消费。

Econometric Analysis on Consumption of Peasants in China

Continuous recession of consumption of peasants in China blocks the economic development of China.China should take the works of dealing with the problem of increasing consumption of farmers aiming at the associated factors as the most important part.This article analyzes the developing trend and characters of farmers' consumption since from the 50s of the 20th century.On the base of this,this article conducts the analysis of linear regression,and the analyzing results indicate that the low income of peasants and the high price of factors and goods are factors restraining consumption of peasant.So increasing income of peasants,strengthen country's infrastructure construction and society insurance system and so on are the effective measures to increase the consumption of peasants.The emphasis is on econometric analysis.