| 中国城镇居民消费与第三产业发展互动关系的实证分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 牛建高,张建,曹敏.中国城镇居民消费与第三产业发展互动关系的实证分析[J].地质技术经济管理,2011(7):69-74. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 牛建高 张建 曹敏 |
| |
| 作者单位： | [1]石家庄经济学院,河北石家庄050031 [2]天津华北地质勘查局,天津300181 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 河北省软科学项目（094172211D一1）的资助. |
| |
| 摘 要： | 采用协整分析、误差修正模型、格兰杰因果关系检验和向量自回归模型研究了我国城镇居民消费水平与第三产业发展的动态关系。研究结果表明，城镇居民消费水平与第三产业发展之间存在长期的相互作用关系，但现阶段两者发展还不协调。因此，应以城镇居民消费需求为导向，通过加快第三产业内部结构的升级和优化，实现产业结构的高度化，并最终实现居民消费需求与第三产业发展的良性互动。
|
| 关 键 词： | 城镇居民消费 第三产业 协整 格兰杰因果关系检验 向量自回归 |
An Empirical Analysis on the Mutual Relation between the Urban Citizen Consumption and the Development of Tertiary Industry in China |
| |
| Niu Jiangao,Zhang Jian,Cao Min.An Empirical Analysis on the Mutual Relation between the Urban Citizen Consumption and the Development of Tertiary Industry in China[J].Geological Technoeconomic Management,2011(7):69-74. |
| |
| Authors: | Niu Jiangao Zhang Jian Cao Min |
| |
| Institution: | 1. Shijiazhuang University of Economics, Shijiazhuang 050031, China; 2. North China Geological Exploration Bureau in Tianjin, Tianjin 300181, China) |
| |
| Abstract: | The result shows that there exists long term interact relationship between the level of urban citizen consumption and the development of tertiary industry, but the development of both are not harmonious in this phase. The demand of citizen consumption should be the direction to realize highness of the industry structure, quicken upgrade and optimize the inside structure of tertiary industry. Thus, the tertiary industry can satisfy the consumption demand of citizen, and enhance the consumption level of citizen. |
| |
| Keywords: | urban citizen consumption tertiary industry co-integration Granger causality tests vector auto-regression |
| 本文献已被 维普 等数据库收录！ |
