基于PVAR模型的流通业对城乡收入差距影响研究——以江苏为例

文章选取江苏13市2005~2017年的统计数据,建立PVAR模型,重点分析了流通业发展、城镇化及其控制变量对城乡收入差距的影响程度。研究结果表明江苏城镇化与流通业总值和结构之间存在持续显著的正向促进作用;城镇化、流通业发展有助于缩小城乡收入差距;控制变量中,外商直接投资、产业结构的影响显著。因此,在提高城镇化水平、促进流通业协调发展、缩小城乡收入差距的同时,也需要加强外资引进力度、优化产业结构。

Study on the Influence of Circulation Industry on Urban-rural Income Gap Based on PVAR Model——Take Jiangsu for Example

Based on the PVAR model,this paper selects the statistical data of Jiangsu province from 2005 to 2017 and focuses on the impact of the development of circulation industry,urbanization and its control variables on the urban-rural income gap.The results show that there is a significant positive positive effect between the urbanization and circulation industry in Jiangsu province.The development of urbanization and circulation industry can help narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas.In the control variables,the influence of foreign direct investment and industrial structure is significant.Therefore,while improving the level of urbanization,promoting the coordinated development of the circulation industry,and narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas,it is also necessary to strengthen the introduction of foreign capital and optimize the industrial structure.