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An effective method for constructing bounds for ruin probabilities for the surplus process perturbed by diffusion
Authors:Cary Chi-Liang Tsai  Yi Lu
Institution:1. Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science , Simon Fraser University , Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada cltsai@sfu.ca;3. Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science , Simon Fraser University , Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada
Abstract:In this paper, we first study orders, valid up to a certain positive initial surplus, between a pair of ruin probabilities resulting from two individual claim size random variables for corresponding continuous time surplus processes perturbed by diffusion. The results are then applied to obtain a smooth upper (lower) bound for the underlying ruin probability; the upper (lower) bound is constructed from exponentially distributed claims, provided that the mean residual lifetime function of the underlying random variable is non-decreasing (non-increasing). Finally, numerical examples are given to illustrate the constructed upper bounds for ruin probabilities with comparisons to some existing ones.
Keywords:Surplus process  Diffusion process  Ruin probability  Maximal aggregate loss  Compound geometric distribution  Ordering  Bound
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