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Extremes on the discounted aggregate claims in a time dependent risk model
Authors:Alexandru V Asimit
Institution:Department of Statistics , University of Toronto , Toronto, ON, Canada
Abstract:This paper presents an extension of the classical compound Poisson risk model for which the inter-claim time and the forthcoming claim amount are no longer independent random variables (rv's). Asymptotic tail probabilities for the discounted aggregate claims are presented when the force of interest is constant and the claim amounts are heavy tail distributed rv's. Furthermore, we derive asymptotic finite time ruin probabilities, as well as asymptotic approximations for some common risk measures associated with the discounted aggregate claims. A simulation study is performed in order to validate the results obtained in the free interest risk model.
Keywords:Compound Poisson risk model  Dependence  Discounted aggregate loss  Subexponential distribution  Value-at-risk
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