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Ruin Probabilities in the Compound Markov Binomial Model
Authors:David Landriault
Institution:1. emarceau@act.ulaval.ca
Abstract:In this paper, we present a compound Markov binomial model which is an extension of the compound binomial model proposed by Gerber (1988a, b) and further examined by Shiu (1989) and Willmot (1993). The compound Markov binomial model is based on the Markov Bernoulli process which introduces dependency between claim occurrences. Recursive formulas are provided for the computation of the ruin probabilities over finite- and infinite-time horizons. A Lundberg exponential bound is derived for the ruin probability and numerical examples are also provided.
Keywords:Ruin theory  Markov Bernoulli  Markov binomial  dependence  compound binomial model  Lundberg exponential bound  recursive calculation
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