外商直接投资对中国农产品出口贸易结构的影响——基于1982～2006年时间数据的实证分析

文章研究农业外商直接投资的农产品出口贸易结构效应,运用协整与向量误差修正模型,就外商直接投资对中国农产品贸易商品结构的影响进行实证分析。研究结果表明,外商直接投资与农产品出口贸易之间存在互补关系,无论是初级农产品贸易还是农产品加工贸易,这种互补关系都是确定的。从长期来看,外商直接投资有利于中国农产品出口贸易结构的优化,短期内外商直接投资对农产品加工出口贸易促进作用有限。

The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on the Export Structure of Agricultural Products

The paper studies on the impact of foreign direct investment on the export structure of agricultural products using co-integration analysis and vector error correction model approach, and analyzes causes. The empirical study gains the conclusion that complementary relationship of foreign direct investment and export structure of agricultural products exists. In the long-term, foreign direct investment is beneficial to export structure improvement of agricultural products.In the short-term, the impact of for...