伊拉克国际石油合作环境分析

伊拉克战争结束后,在美国主导下,伊拉克用了6年时间基本完成了国家政治重建进程.然而,新政府组成后,伊拉克三大派系之间的矛盾和权力斗争并未解决,政府基础仍很脆弱.在石油工业方面,战后制定的<石油天然气法>作为伊拉克石油工业管理基础性法律,至今未获伊议会批准,但这并未影响政府推动油气对外合作,战后伊拉克油气生产逐渐恢复.伊拉克战争以来,伊拉克安全形势经历了恐怖活动猖獗、安全局面改善与恐怖活动回潮三个阶段.伊拉克恐怖活动短期内难以消除,并可能伴随伊拉克整个重建过程,但受内外一些维稳因素的制约和影响,伊拉克未来爆发内战和走向分裂的可能性也不大,基本处于大乱可控,小乱不断的局面.总体看,随着美军的逐渐撤离,美国对伊的控制力将日趋减弱,而伊拉克自主行政能力必然不断增强.作为全球最大的产油国之一,无疑其国际石油合作领域将展现更多机遇.

Analysis of Iraqi International Petroleum Cooperation

Since the end of the Iraq war,Iraq has(under the management of the United States)essentially completed the political reconstruction process. However,the establishment of a new government has not alleviated the friction and power-struggles between the three major sects that make up Iraqi society and the foundations of government remain weak.The legal basis for the post-war management of the Iraqi Oil Industry,the Oil and Natural Gas Law has not yet been ratified by the Iraqi Parliament. However,this has not ...