| 三次产业结构与我国经济增长关系的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 凌志雄,潘妹.三次产业结构与我国经济增长关系的实证研究[J].经济问题,2011(11). |
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| 作者姓名： | 凌志雄 潘妹 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南大学工商管理学院,长沙,410079 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对我国经济增长与产业结构的实证分析，认为中长期内我国经济增长仍是工业占有主导地位，城市化进程仍需要一段时期。但在我国经济增长短期却发生了增长动力的变化，第三产业已经超越第二产业成为我国经济增长的“第一动力”。格兰杰因果检验也同时表明，第三产业将逐渐替代第二产业成为我国经济增长的主导性力量。
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| 关 键 词： | 三次产业结构 经济增长 协整检验 格兰杰因果检验 |
The Empirical Study of Three Industry Structure and Economic Growth |
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| LING Zhi-xiong,PAN Mei.The Empirical Study of Three Industry Structure and Economic Growth[J].On Economic Problems,2011(11). |
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| Authors: | LING Zhi-xiong PAN Mei |
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| Institution: | LING Zhi-xiong,PAN Mei(School of Business Administration,Hunan University,Changsha 410079,China) |
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| Abstract: | Followed by China's economic growth and industrial structure of the empirical analysis,the paper indicates medium and long term economic growth in China is still the industry share dominant position,the urbanization process will take some time.However,short-term economic growth in China has undergone a change in momentum.The secondary industry tertiary industry has surpassed the economic growth of China as the first power.Granger causality test also showed that the tertiary industry will gradually replace t... |
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| Keywords: | three industrial structural economic growth cointegration test Granger causality test |
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