无锡市碳排放与经济发展水平的Tapio弹性脱钩分析

“花房效应”已使能源碳排放成为国内外重要的环保议题,如何在保持经济增长的同时减少碳排放成为各地区共同面临的挑战。无锡市地处苏南用能负荷中心,能源消耗量大,采用Tapio脱钩模型,以2007年为首个基数年,对无锡市2008-2016年碳排放与经济发展水平进行脱钩分析,研究发现无锡市碳排放与经济发展整体上处于弱脱钩状态,碳排放主要来自煤类能源,还有进一步向实现强脱钩转变的潜力。根据结论提出减排建议,以期为无锡市低碳城市构建提供科学参考依据。

Tapio Decoupling Analysis between Carbon Emission and Economic Development Level in Wuxi City

The greenhouse effect has made energy carbon emissions become an important environmental issue at home and abroad. How to reduce carbon emissions while maintaining economic growth has become a common challenge for all regions. Wuxi is located in the energy consumption center of South of Jiangsu, and has a large amount of energy consumption. This paper uses the Tapio decoupling model and takes 2007 as the first base year to analyze the carbon emission and economic development level of Wuxi from 2008 to 2016. It is found that the carbon emission and economic development in Wuxi are in a weak decoupling state, and the carbon emissions are mainly from coal-based energy sources. There is still the potential transformation to achieve strong decoupling. According to the conclusions, this paper proposes emission reduction proposals in order to provide scientific reference for the construction of low-carbon cities in Wuxi.