生态足迹、产业结构与区域经济可持续发展——以重庆为例

应用生态足迹模型测算了重庆1997年～2009年的生态足迹，应用发展能力公式对重庆可持续发展能力进行了评估，以及采用产业一生态和谐指数分析了产业结构与生态环境的协调性。实证研究表明：1997年～2009年重庆人均生态足迹不断增加，人均生态赤字逐年扩大；可持续发展能力有所提高，但仍然具有潜在的不可持续性；产业一生态和谐指数逐步下降，产业发展超出生态环境承载能力的势头逐步加强。在生态问题的背后，产业结构是影响重庆可持续发展的关键．对产业结构与生态环境关系的认识与解决程度有助于减少重庆生态赤字。推动重庆经济可持续发展。

Study on Industrial Structure,Ecological Footprint and Regional Economy Sustainable Development Take Chongqing as an Example

This paper calculates the ecological footprint of Chongqing from 1997 to 2009 based on the ecological footprint model, evaluates the sustainable development capability by applying development capability formula and analyzes the compatibility between industrial structure and ecological environment with the industry-ecological harmony index （IEHI）. The empirical study indicates： Firstly, Chongqing per capita ecological footprint gets increasingly increased from 1997 to 2009 and the ecological deficit grows year by year. Secondly, the ability of sustainable development of Chongqing rises to some extent, but it still has potential un-sustainability. Thirdly, the IEHI gradually declines and the trend that industry develops beyond the environmental carrying capacity gradually become strong. Behind the ecological problems, the industrial structure is the key factor that influence the sustainable development of regional economy, thus the identification of and the solution to the relationship between them could contribute to reducing the ecological deficit and promote the sustainable development of regional economy.