福建省服务业FDI对服务贸易影响的实证研究

通过构建VAR模型,并运用协整检验、脉冲响应函数与方差分解等分析方法,对福建省2000-2012年服务业实际利用FDI与服务贸易之间的长期动态关系进行了实证研究.结果显示:在短期内,服务业FDI与服务出口存在互补关系,与服务进口存在替代关系;长期来看,服务业FDI与服务进出口的关系不稳定.最后根据结论给出一些政策建议.

Empirical Study About the Influence of Service FDI on Services Trade in Fujian

Carry on the empirical study about the long-term dynamic relationship between service FDI and service trade by constructing the VAR model, and using co-integration test, impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis method and so on.we use the sample period 2002-2012 from Fujian service industry. The results show that: in the short term, there is a complementary relationship between service industry and services exports FDI, and a alternative relationship between service industry and service imports FDI;in the long term, the relationship is instability .Finally, based on the conclusions I put forward the corresponding policy suggestion.