| 港口集装箱物流需求量预测方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 康广全,戴金山,汪涛,肖汉斌.港口集装箱物流需求量预测方法研究[J].商品储运与养护,2011(10). |
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| 作者姓名： | 康广全 戴金山 汪涛 肖汉斌 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉理工大学物流工程学院;湛江港集团有限公司; |
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| 摘 要： | 文中基于湛江港(集团)股份有限公司多年的生产实践与数据分析,提出了港口集装箱物流需求量是集装箱集疏运量和集装箱拆装箱需求量之总和的观点。利用多因素动态生成机制方法,结合多种预测方法模型,预测了2015年及2020年该港口的外贸和内贸集装箱吞吐量。通过集装箱集疏运量和集装箱拆箱物流需求量的换算,最后得到上述年份该港口的集装箱物流需求量的预测值。
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| 关 键 词： | 物流 港口物流 集装箱 集装箱港口 需求预测 |
The Research of Port Container Logistics Demand Forecasting Method |
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| KANG Guang-quan,DAI Jin-shan,WANG Tao,XIAO Han-bin Co.,LTD,Zhanjiang ,China.The Research of Port Container Logistics Demand Forecasting Method[J].Storage Transportation & Preservation of Commodities,2011(10). |
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| Authors: | KANG Guang-quan DAI Jin-shan WANG Tao XIAO Han-bin Co LTD Zhanjiang China |
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| Institution: | KANG Guang-quan1,2,DAI Jin-shan1,WANG Tao1,XIAO Han-bin1(1.School of Logistics Engineering,Wuhan University of Technology,Wuhan 430063,2.Zhanjiang Port(Group) Co.,LTD,Zhanjiang 524027,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the practical experience and data analysis,the article put forward that the port container logistics demand is sum of the amount of the container transportation and container devanning.This paper use the dynamic formation mechanism method of multiple factors to predict the formation of foreign trade containers of Zhanjiang Port(Group) Co.Ltd,and combine with some comprehensive variety of forecasting methods to predict the container handling capacity of 2015 and 2020.At the end,the prediction of the... |
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| Keywords: | logistics port logistics the port of container demand forecast |
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