中国高端制造业的全球贸易网络格局及其影响因素分析

随着新一轮科技革命与全球产业格局重塑,解构发达国家与中国高端制造业的空间网络格局变化,判断不同时期中国在全球的高端制造业贸易网络地位,分析中国高端制造业网络的影响因素具有十分重要的现实意义。运用网络分析法可视化全球高端制造业空间贸易关联网络拓扑形态和关键特征,通过QAP分析贸易网络影响因素。结果表明:①全球高端制造业贸易网络呈现典型整体贸易网络结构特征,网络密度和互惠性高,联系紧密并保持良好的互通性,贸易活动较频繁;②整体网加权点强度测度表明中国在贸易网络呈现较频繁的贸易活动,并逐渐迈入网络贸易规模前列的空间格局;③个体网结构洞分析表明中国在网络中仍表现出较强的依赖性,贸易行为受其它节点的限制,中国还未成为全球高端制造业贸易网络的"织网者";④工业增加值和地理相邻等因素对全球高端制造业贸易具有统计上的显著性影响。

Global Trade Network Pattern and Influencing Factors of Advanced Manufacturing in China

With the new round of scientific and technological revolution and the global industrial structure remodeling, it has strong significance to deconstruct the spatial network pattern between China’s high-end manufacturing industry and developed countries, judge China’s position as a global high-end manufacturing trade network in different periods, and analyze China’s high-end manufacturing network. The social network analysis method is used to visualize the topological form and key features of spatial trade associated network in the global advanced manufacturing, and its influencing factors are analyzed through QAP. The results show that: 1) The global high-end manufacturing trade network presents the characteristics of a typical overall trade network structure with high network density and reciprocity, close contact and good interoperability, and frequent trade activities;2) The weighted directional intensity measurement of the whole network indicates that China presents more frequent trade activities in the trade network and gradually enters the forefront of the spatial pattern;3) Individual network structure hole analysis shows that China still shows stronger dependence in the network, and trade behavior is restricted by other nodes, so China has not yet become the "spinner" of the global advanced manufacturing trade network;4) Factors such as industrial added value and geographical proximity have statistically significant effects on global advanced manufacturing trade.