基于休伯特模型对未来石油资源的预测及思考

地质学家休伯特曾提出了石油生产的典型规律,并运用该模型对未来石油产储量趋势做了较为准确的预测。今天“休伯特顶点”理论并未过时,全球石油能源枯竭的威胁始终困扰着人类社会。当然,这并不意味着人们在能源问题上没有出路可寻,相反,它促使人们积极探求解决办法,通过优化能源结构,寻找替代能源,开发新能源,从而为经济发展和社会进步开辟新的出路。

Prediction and Consideration of Future Petroleum Resources Based on Hubert Model

Geologist Hubert has observed the typical law of petroleum production and made accurate prediction on the developing trend of petroleum output and storage with the model.Till now,"Hubert Apex"theory is far from obsolete,as the threat of exhaustion of global energy resources has always perplexed human society. However,it doesn't mean that human cannot find way out in the problem of energy resource,on the contrary,it compels people to actively seek for solutions,and break new ways for development of economy and progress of society through optimizing energy resources structure,searching for substitutes and developing new energy resources.